Forhire truck tonnage trends graphic Dec 2016

Truck Tonnage Index ends up-and-down year lower

American Trucking Associations’ advanced seasonally adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index fell 6.2% in December 2016 following a revised 8.4% jump during November. In December, the index equaled 133.8 (2000=100), down from 142.7 in November. The all-time high was 144 in February 2016.

Compared with December 2015, the SA index decreased 0.7%. In November, the index increased 5.9% on a year-over-year basis. For all of 2016, tonnage was up 2.5%.

The not seasonally adjusted index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by the fleets before any seasonal adjustment, equaled 133.9 in December, which was 1.6% below the previous month (136.1).

“The ups and downs that plagued most of 2016 continued in December,” said Bob Costello, ATA chief economist. “I don’t recall a year in recent memory with so many large swings on a month-to-month basis.

“Looking ahead, there are some positive signs for truck tonnage. This includes the continued spending by consumers, larger wage gains and solid home construction,” he said. “Factory output will continue to be soft, but it should be better this year than last year. And most importantly, the supply chain continues to make progress reducing bloated inventories, which will help truck volumes going forward.”

Trucking serves as a barometer of the US economy, representing 70.1% of tonnage carried by all modes of domestic freight transportation, including manufactured and retail goods. Trucks hauled nearly 10.5 billion tons of freight in 2015. Motor carriers collected $726.4 billion, or 81.2% of total revenue earned by all transport modes.

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